Netherlands vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ World Cup 2026 — Group Stage, Match 2
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Confidence: High
Netherlands
Sweden
80%
Head-to-Head
20%
75%
Goal Trend
25%
77.5%
Overall Edge
22.5%
Our Model
Netherlands 67%Draw 21%Sweden 11%
xG: 1.84Expected goalsxG: 0.60
Netherlands vs Sweden looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Netherlands has the stronger overall edge. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
+202.3
Netherlands stronger
Netherlands: 1622.40 (#8) · Sweden: 1420.11 (#35)
H2H Record ?
4–4–2
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.1 goals/game · 10 meetings
Netherlands
Sweden
#1
Position ?
#3
0
Points ?
0
–
Record ?
–
0
Goals For ?
0
0
Goals Against ?
0
0
Goal Diff
0
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#38
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
–
Form ?
–
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
19 Jun 1974FIFA World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
10 Oct 2017WC QualNetherlands2–0Sweden
6 Sep 2016WC QualSweden1–1Netherlands
11 Oct 2011Euro QualSweden3–2Netherlands
12 Oct 2010Euro QualNetherlands4–1Sweden
19 Nov 2008FriendlyNetherlands3–1Sweden
18 Aug 2004FriendlySweden2–2Netherlands
26 Jun 2004UEFA EuroSweden0–0NNetherlands
27 Apr 1983FriendlyNetherlands0–3Sweden
4 Sep 1974FriendlySweden1–5Netherlands
19 Jun 1974World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.1 goals across their last 10 meetings.
Clear model favourite: Netherlands at 67% win probability.