Netherlands vs Japan Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ World Cup 2026 — Group Stage, Match 1
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Confidence: Low
Netherlands
Japan
100%
Head-to-Head
0%
100%
Goal Trend
0%
Our Model
Netherlands 42%Draw 27%Japan 31%
xG: 1.34Expected goalsxG: 1.11
Netherlands vs Japan looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Netherlands holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
+36.69
Netherlands stronger
Netherlands: 1622.40 (#8) · Japan: 1585.71 (#14)
H2H Record ?
2–1–0
Netherlands leads
Avg 2.7 goals/game · 3 meetings
Netherlands
Japan
#1
Position ?
#2
0
Points ?
0
–
Record ?
–
0
Goals For ?
0
0
Goals Against ?
0
0
Goal Diff
0
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#18
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.9%
–
Form ?
–
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
19 Jun 2010FIFA World CupNetherlands1–0NJapan
Last 3 Meetings (All Competitions)
16 Nov 2013FriendlyNetherlands2–2NJapan
19 Jun 2010World CupNetherlands1–0NJapan
5 Sep 2009FriendlyNetherlands3–0Japan