Mexico vs South Africa Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ World Cup 2026 — Group Stage, Match 1
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Confidence: Low
Mexico
South Africa
50%
Head-to-Head
50%
50%
Goal Trend
50%
50.0%
Overall Edge
50.0%
Our Model
Mexico 73%Draw 19%South Africa 8%
xG: 1.96Expected goalsxG: 0.49
Mexico vs South Africa looks like a balanced matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. There is no clear favourite from the statistical data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
+216.38
Mexico stronger
Mexico: 1589.68 (#13) · South Africa: 1373.31 (#40)
H2H Record ?
2–1–1
Mexico leads
Avg 3.8 goals/game · 4 meetings
Mexico
South Africa
#1
Position ?
#2
0
Points ?
0
–
Record ?
–
0
Goals For ?
0
0
Goals Against ?
0
0
Goal Diff
0
#15
FIFA Rank ?
#60
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
–
Form ?
–
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
11 Jun 2010FIFA World CupSouth Africa1–1Mexico
Last 4 Meetings (All Competitions)
11 Jun 2010World CupSouth Africa1–1Mexico
8 Jul 2005Gold CupSouth Africa2–1NMexico
7 Jun 2000USA CupMexico4–2NSouth Africa
6 Oct 1993FriendlyMexico4–0NSouth Africa
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.8 goals across their last 4 meetings.
Clear model favourite: Mexico at 73% win probability.