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Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head | Serie A

Serie A
2026-05-10 · 18:45 (UK)
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
2.14
DRAW
3.36
AWAY WIN
3.70
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Atalanta
Expected: Atalanta by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Milan
Atalanta
44%
Form
56%
14%
Attack Strength
86%
45%
Defensive Strength
55%
15%
Head-to-Head
85%
36%
Goal Trend
64%
33.8%
Overall Edge
66.2%

Milan vs Atalanta looks like a Atalanta-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Atalanta has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Atalanta by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
45%
Milan to Win
Home: 45%  Draw: 29%  Away: 26%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.24 goals
Evenly matched
Milan scores 1.29 goals/game at home
Atalanta concedes 1.06 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.2 goals
Moderate Scoring
Milan: 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded
Atalanta: 1.3 scored / 0.9 conceded
Milan
Atalanta
3
League Pos
7
67
Points
55
1.91
PPG
1.57
1.37
Goals For
1.34
0.83
Goals Against
0.91
42.9%
BTTS %
51.4%
66 stronger by 8
DB Pwr ?
58
53%
Home Win%
Away Win%
29%
L D W L L
Form
D L D L W
Injury & Availability
Milan
No injury concerns reported
Atalanta
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0Milan
2Draws
3Atalanta
2.6Avg Goals
2025-10-282025-2026Atalanta1-1Milan
2025-04-202024-2025Milan0-1Atalanta
2024-12-062024-2025Atalanta2-1Milan
2024-02-252023-2024Milan1-1Atalanta
2023-12-092023-2024Atalanta3-2Milan
⚡ Betting Angles
🛡Both teams trend low-scoring (Milan 40.0% / Atalanta 37.1%) — combined 39%. Under 2.5 has value.
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