Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Atalanta
Expected: Atalanta by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Atalanta
Genoa
54%
Form
46%
64%
Attack Strength
36%
62%
Defensive Strength
38%
100%
Head-to-Head
0%
81%
Goal Trend
19%
65.6%
Overall Edge
34.4%
Atalanta vs Genoa looks like a Atalanta-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Atalanta has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Atalanta by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
63%
Atalanta to Win
Home: 63% Draw: 22% Away: 15%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.03 goals
Evenly matched
Atalanta scores 1.47 goals/game at home
Genoa concedes 1.50 goals/game away
Genoa concedes 1.50 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.5 goals
Moderate Scoring
Atalanta: 1.4 scored / 0.9 conceded
Genoa: 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded
Genoa: 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded
Atalanta
Genoa
7
League Pos
14
54
Points
39
1.59
PPG
1.15
1.38
Goals For
1.18
0.94
Goals Against
1.41
52.9%
BTTS %
55.9%
60 stronger by 31
DB Pwr ?
29
53%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
25%
L D L W W
Form
L W W L L
Injury & Availability
Atalanta ?L. BernasconiInjuryOut
Genoa ?T. BaldanziInactiveOut
B. Norton-CuffyThigh InjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-12-212025-2026Genoa0-1Atalanta
2025-05-172024-2025Genoa2-3Atalanta
2024-10-052024-2025Atalanta5-1Genoa
2024-02-112023-2024Genoa1-4Atalanta
2023-10-222023-2024Atalanta2-0Genoa
⚡ Betting Angles
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.8 goals across last 5 meetings.
Clear market favourite: Atalanta priced at 63% implied probability.