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Tondela vs Moreirense Head to Head | Primeira

Primeira
2026-05-11 · 19:15 (UK)
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
2.03
DRAW
3.48
AWAY WIN
3.69
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Moreirense
Expected: Moreirense by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Tondela
Moreirense
42%
Form
58%
45%
Attack Strength
55%
50%
Defensive Strength
50%
29%
Head-to-Head
71%
36%
Goal Trend
64%
40.2%
Overall Edge
59.8%

Tondela vs Moreirense looks like a Moreirense-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Moreirense holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
47%
Tondela to Win
Home: 47%  Draw: 27%  Away: 26%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.94 goals
Away advantage
Tondela scores 0.69 goals/game at home
Moreirense concedes 1.62 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.5 goals
Moderate Scoring
Tondela: 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded
Moreirense: 1.2 scored / 1.5 conceded
Tondela
Moreirense
17
League Pos
8
25
Points
42
0.78
PPG
1.31
0.75
Goals For
1.16
1.62
Goals Against
1.47
34.4%
BTTS %
50.0%
5
DB Pwr ?
19 stronger by 14
6%
Home Win%
Away Win%
25%
W D L L D
Form
W L W D L
Injury & Availability
Tondela
No injury concerns reported
Moreirense
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2Tondela
1Draws
2Moreirense
2.2Avg Goals
2026-01-112025-2026Moreirense1-0Tondela
2022-04-162021-2022Moreirense2-0Tondela
2022-01-032021-2022Tondela2-1Moreirense
2021-04-172020-2021Moreirense2-3Tondela
2020-12-192020-2021Tondela0-0Moreirense
⚡ Betting Angles
Away defensive advantage: Moreirense concedes only 1.62 goals/game away while Tondela scores 0.69 goals/game at home.
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