Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Sporting CP
Expected: Sporting CP by 2+ goals
Confidence: High
Sp Lisbon
Tondela
83%
Form
17%
86%
Attack Strength
14%
61%
Defensive Strength
39%
100%
Head-to-Head
0%
88%
Goal Trend
13%
82.0%
Overall Edge
18.2%
Sp Lisbon vs Tondela looks like a Sporting CP-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Sporting CP has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Sporting CP by 2+ goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
84%
Sp Lisbon to Win
Home: 84% Draw: 10% Away: 6%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.86 goals
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon scores 2.93 goals/game at home
Tondela concedes 2.07 goals/game away
Tondela concedes 2.07 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.8 goals
Moderate Scoring
Sp Lisbon: 2.5 scored / 0.7 conceded
Tondela: 0.7 scored / 1.7 conceded
Tondela: 0.7 scored / 1.7 conceded
Sp Lisbon
Tondela
3
League Pos
17
72
Points
21
2.40
PPG
0.70
2.50
Goals For
0.70
0.67
Goals Against
1.67
53.3%
BTTS %
33.3%
92 stronger by 87
DB Pwr ?
5
79%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
21%
D L W W W
Form
L L D L D
Injury & Availability
Sp LisbonNo injury concerns reported
TondelaNo injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-262025-2026Tondela0-3Sp Lisbon
2022-04-092021-2022Tondela1-3Sp Lisbon
2021-11-282021-2022Sp Lisbon2-0Tondela
2021-03-132020-2021Tondela0-1Sp Lisbon
2020-11-012020-2021Sp Lisbon4-0Tondela
⚡ Betting Angles
Home attack advantage: Sp Lisbon scores 2.93 goals/game at home, Tondela concedes 2.07 goals/game away — +0.86-goal advantage.
Clear market favourite: Sp Lisbon priced at 84% implied probability.