Home / Primeira / Sp Lisbon vs Guimaraes
Primeira
2026-05-04 · 19:15
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
1.26
DRAW
6.43
AWAY WIN
9.60
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Sporting CP
Expected: Sporting CP by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Sp Lisbon
Guimaraes
44%
Form
56%
50%
Attack Strength
50%
36%
Defensive Strength
64%
71%
Head-to-Head
29%
67%
Goal Trend
33%
59.3%
Overall Edge
40.7%

Sp Lisbon vs Guimaraes looks like a Sporting CP-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Sporting CP holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
75%
Sp Lisbon to Win
Home: 75%  Draw: 15%  Away: 10%
Attack vs Defence ?
+1.2 goals
Home advantage
Sp Lisbon scores 2.87 goals/game at home
Guimaraes concedes 1.67 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.9 goals
Moderate Scoring
Sp Lisbon: 2.5 scored / 0.7 conceded
Guimaraes: 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded
Sp Lisbon
Guimaraes
3
League Pos
7
73
Points
42
2.35
PPG
1.35
2.48
Goals For
1.23
0.71
Goals Against
1.39
54.8%
BTTS %
41.9%
87 stronger by 64
DB Pwr ?
23
73%
Home Win%
Away Win%
27%
D D L W W
Form
W W D W L
Injury & Availability
Sp Lisbon
No injury concerns reported
Guimaraes
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3Sp Lisbon
1Draws
1Guimaraes
4.6Avg Goals
2025-12-232025-2026Guimaraes1-4Sp Lisbon
2025-05-172024-2025Sp Lisbon2-0Guimaraes
2025-01-032024-2025Guimaraes4-4Sp Lisbon
2024-04-212023-2024Sp Lisbon3-0Guimaraes
2023-12-092023-2024Guimaraes3-2Sp Lisbon
⚡ Betting Angles
Home attack advantage: Sp Lisbon scores 2.87 goals/game at home, Guimaraes concedes 1.67 goals/game away — +1.2-goal advantage.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 4.6 goals across last 5 meetings.
🎯Clear market favourite: Sp Lisbon priced at 75% implied probability.
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