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Benfica vs Sp Braga Head to Head | Primeira

Primeira
2026-05-11 · 19:15 (UK)
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
1.37
DRAW
5.04
AWAY WIN
7.79
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Benfica
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Medium
Benfica
Sp Braga
58%
Form
42%
65%
Attack Strength
35%
50%
Defensive Strength
50%
62%
Head-to-Head
38%
57%
Goal Trend
43%
59.0%
Overall Edge
41.0%

Benfica vs Sp Braga looks like a Benfica-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Benfica holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
69%
Benfica to Win
Home: 69%  Draw: 19%  Away: 12%
Attack vs Defence ?
+1.44 goals
Home advantage
Benfica scores 2.44 goals/game at home
Sp Braga concedes 1.00 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.9 goals
Moderate Scoring
Benfica: 2.2 scored / 0.7 conceded
Sp Braga: 1.9 scored / 1.0 conceded
Benfica
Sp Braga
3
League Pos
4
76
Points
57
2.38
PPG
1.78
2.16
Goals For
1.88
0.69
Goals Against
1.00
56.2%
BTTS %
53.1%
80 stronger by 28
DB Pwr ?
52
69%
Home Win%
Away Win%
50%
D W W W D
Form
D L W D W
Injury & Availability
Benfica
No injury concerns reported
Sp Braga
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2Benfica
2Draws
1Sp Braga
2.8Avg Goals
2025-12-282025-2026Sp Braga2-2Benfica
2025-05-172024-2025Sp Braga1-1Benfica
2025-01-042024-2025Benfica1-2Sp Braga
2024-04-272023-2024Benfica3-1Sp Braga
2023-12-172023-2024Sp Braga0-1Benfica
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams run high O2.5 rates (Benfica 68.8% / Sp Braga 65.6%) — combined 67%. Lean Over 2.5.
Home attack advantage: Benfica scores 2.44 goals/game at home, Sp Braga concedes 1.00 goals/game away — +1.44-goal advantage.
🎯Clear market favourite: Benfica priced at 69% implied probability.
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