Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Brighton
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: High
Newcastle
Brighton
19%
Form
81%
29%
Attack Strength
71%
30%
Defensive Strength
70%
15%
Head-to-Head
85%
36%
Goal Trend
64%
29.5%
Overall Edge
70.5%
Newcastle vs Brighton looks like a Brighton-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Brighton has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Very even matchup. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
37%
Newcastle to Win
Home: 37% Draw: 27% Away: 36%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.47 goals
Home advantage
Newcastle scores 1.76 goals/game at home
Brighton concedes 1.29 goals/game away
Brighton concedes 1.29 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.7 goals
Moderate Scoring
Newcastle: 1.4 scored / 1.5 conceded
Brighton: 1.4 scored / 1.1 conceded
Brighton: 1.4 scored / 1.1 conceded
Newcastle
Brighton
14
League Pos
6
42
Points
50
1.24
PPG
1.47
1.35
Goals For
1.41
1.47
Goals Against
1.15
64.7%
BTTS %
58.8%
36
DB Pwr ?
52 stronger by 16
47%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
29%
L L L L W
Form
W D W W W
Injury & Availability
Newcastle ?E. KrafthKnee InjuryOut
V. LivramentoInjuryOut
F. ScharAnkle InjuryOut
A. GordonHip InjuryDoubt
Brighton ?D. GomezInjuryOut
S. MarchMuscle InjuryOut
J. MilnerInjuryOut
S. TzimasKnee InjuryOut
A. WebsterKnee InjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-182025-2026Brighton2-1Newcastle
2025-05-042024-2025Brighton1-1Newcastle
2024-10-192024-2025Newcastle0-1Brighton
2024-05-112023-2024Newcastle1-1Brighton
2023-09-022023-2024Brighton3-1Newcastle
⚡ Betting Angles
BTTS likely — Newcastle 64.7% / Brighton 58.8% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 62%.
Brighton in red-hot form — 13 pts from last 5.