Liverpool vs Chelsea Head to Head | Premier League
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Liverpool
Expected: Liverpool by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Liverpool
Chelsea
100%
Form
0%
91%
Attack Strength
9%
65%
Defensive Strength
35%
60%
Head-to-Head
40%
56%
Goal Trend
44%
65.2%
Overall Edge
34.8%
Liverpool vs Chelsea looks like a Liverpool-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Liverpool has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Liverpool by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
52%
Liverpool to Win
Home: 52% Draw: 24% Away: 24%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.47 goals
Home advantage
Liverpool scores 1.88 goals/game at home
Chelsea concedes 1.41 goals/game away
Chelsea concedes 1.41 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
3.0 goals
Moderate Scoring
Liverpool: 1.7 scored / 1.3 conceded
Chelsea: 1.5 scored / 1.4 conceded
Chelsea: 1.5 scored / 1.4 conceded
Liverpool
Chelsea
4
League Pos
9
58
Points
48
1.66
PPG
1.37
1.69
Goals For
1.54
1.34
Goals Against
1.37
65.7%
BTTS %
60.0%
50 stronger by 6
DB Pwr ?
44
59%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
41%
L W W W L
Form
L L L L L
Injury & Availability
LiverpoolNo injury concerns reported
ChelseaNo injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-042025-2026Chelsea2-1Liverpool
2025-05-042024-2025Chelsea3-1Liverpool
2024-10-202024-2025Liverpool2-1Chelsea
2024-01-312023-2024Liverpool4-1Chelsea
2023-08-132023-2024Chelsea1-1Liverpool
⚡ Betting Angles
BTTS likely — Liverpool 65.7% / Chelsea 60.0% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 63%.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.4 goals across last 5 meetings.