Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Leeds
Expected: Leeds by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Leeds
Burnley
90%
Form
10%
78%
Attack Strength
22%
77%
Defensive Strength
23%
38%
Head-to-Head
62%
44%
Goal Trend
56%
66.2%
Overall Edge
33.8%
Leeds vs Burnley looks like a Leeds-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Leeds has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Leeds by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
69%
Leeds to Win
Home: 69% Draw: 20% Away: 11%
Attack vs Defence ?
-1.0 goals
Away advantage
Leeds scores 1.47 goals/game at home
Burnley concedes 2.47 goals/game away
Burnley concedes 2.47 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.9 goals
Moderate Scoring
Leeds: 1.3 scored / 1.5 conceded
Burnley: 1.0 scored / 2.0 conceded
Burnley: 1.0 scored / 2.0 conceded
Leeds
Burnley
15
League Pos
19
40
Points
20
1.18
PPG
0.59
1.29
Goals For
1.00
1.50
Goals Against
2.00
58.8%
BTTS %
55.9%
32 stronger by 23
DB Pwr ?
9
41%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
12%
D W W D D
Form
L L L L D
Injury & Availability
Leeds ?I. GruevKnee InjuryOut
Burnley ?J. CullenKnee InjuryOut
H. MejbriHamstring InjuryOut
Z. AmdouniKnee InjuryDoubt
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-182025-2026Burnley2-0Leeds
2025-01-272024-2025Burnley0-0Leeds
2024-09-142024-2025Leeds0-1Burnley
2022-01-022021-2022Leeds3-1Burnley
2021-08-292021-2022Burnley1-1Leeds
⚡ Betting Angles
Away defensive advantage: Burnley concedes only 2.47 goals/game away while Leeds scores 1.47 goals/game at home.
Tight H2H history — last 5 meetings averaged just 1.8 goals.
Clear market favourite: Leeds priced at 69% implied probability.