Burnley vs Aston Villa Head to Head | Premier League
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Aston Villa
Expected: Aston Villa by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Burnley
Aston Villa
0%
Form
100%
27%
Attack Strength
73%
35%
Defensive Strength
65%
7%
Head-to-Head
93%
33%
Goal Trend
67%
27.6%
Overall Edge
72.4%
Burnley vs Aston Villa looks like a Aston Villa-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Aston Villa has the stronger overall edge, with the model expecting Aston Villa by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
61%
Aston Villa to Win
Home: 18% Draw: 22% Away: 61%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.53 goals
Away advantage
Burnley scores 0.88 goals/game at home
Aston Villa concedes 1.41 goals/game away
Aston Villa concedes 1.41 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.8 goals
Moderate Scoring
Burnley: 1.0 scored / 2.0 conceded
Aston Villa: 1.4 scored / 1.3 conceded
Aston Villa: 1.4 scored / 1.3 conceded
Burnley
Aston Villa
19
League Pos
5
20
Points
58
0.57
PPG
1.66
1.00
Goals For
1.37
2.03
Goals Against
1.26
57.1%
BTTS %
54.3%
7
DB Pwr ?
42 stronger by 35
12%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
35%
L L L L L
Form
L L W D W
Injury & Availability
BurnleyNo injury concerns reported
Aston VillaNo injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-052025-2026Aston Villa2-1Burnley
2023-12-302023-2024Aston Villa3-2Burnley
2023-08-272023-2024Burnley1-3Aston Villa
2022-05-192021-2022Aston Villa1-1Burnley
2022-05-072021-2022Burnley1-3Aston Villa
⚡ Betting Angles
Away defensive advantage: Aston Villa concedes only 1.41 goals/game away while Burnley scores 0.88 goals/game at home.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.6 goals across last 5 meetings.
Clear market favourite: Aston Villa priced at 61% implied probability.