Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Bastia
Expected: Bastia by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Guingamp
Bastia
14%
Form
86%
33%
Attack Strength
67%
44%
Defensive Strength
56%
38%
Head-to-Head
62%
46%
Goal Trend
54%
38.7%
Overall Edge
61.3%
Guingamp vs Bastia looks like a Bastia-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Bastia holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
40%
Guingamp to Win
Home: 40% Draw: 27% Away: 34%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.0 goals
Evenly matched
Guingamp scores 1.19 goals/game at home
Bastia concedes 1.19 goals/game away
Bastia concedes 1.19 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.3 goals
Moderate Scoring
Guingamp: 1.3 scored / 1.5 conceded
Bastia: 0.7 scored / 1.2 conceded
Bastia: 0.7 scored / 1.2 conceded
Guingamp
Bastia
11
League Pos
17
40
Points
25
1.25
PPG
0.81
1.31
Goals For
0.71
1.47
Goals Against
1.19
53.1%
BTTS %
35.5%
32 stronger by 32
DB Pwr ?
0
38%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
6%
L L D L L
Form
D W L D D
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-08-302025-2026Bastia1-3Guingamp
2025-05-022024-2025Guingamp2-2Bastia
2024-12-132024-2025Bastia3-1Guingamp
2024-04-202023-2024Guingamp0-1Bastia
2023-10-282023-2024Bastia0-0Guingamp
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams trend low-scoring (Guingamp 59.4% / Bastia 19.4%) — combined 39%. Under 2.5 has value.