Bastia vs Le Mans Head to Head | Ligue 2
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Le Mans
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Medium
Bastia
Le Mans
47%
Form
53%
53%
Attack Strength
47%
25%
Defensive Strength
75%
60%
Head-to-Head
40%
50%
Goal Trend
50%
44.2%
Overall Edge
55.8%
Bastia vs Le Mans looks like a Le Mans-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Le Mans holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
39%
Le Mans to Win
Home: 33% Draw: 28% Away: 39%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.77 goals
Away advantage
Bastia scores 0.67 goals/game at home
Le Mans concedes 1.44 goals/game away
Le Mans concedes 1.44 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.1 goals
Tight / Low Scoring
Bastia: 0.7 scored / 1.2 conceded
Le Mans: 1.5 scored / 0.9 conceded
Le Mans: 1.5 scored / 0.9 conceded
Bastia
Le Mans
17
League Pos
2
28
Points
59
0.88
PPG
1.79
0.72
Goals For
1.45
1.16
Goals Against
0.94
34.4%
BTTS %
51.5%
3
DB Pwr ?
79 stronger by 76
20%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
38%
W D W L D
Form
D D W D W
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-08-222025-2026Le Mans1-0Bastia
2012-05-042011-2012Le Mans3-0Bastia
2011-08-122011-2012Bastia1-0Le Mans
2004-03-202003-2004Bastia0-0Le Mans
2003-10-252003-2004Le Mans1-1Bastia
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams trend low-scoring (Bastia 18.8% / Le Mans 36.4%) — combined 28%. Under 2.5 has value.
Away defensive advantage: Le Mans concedes only 1.44 goals/game away while Bastia scores 0.67 goals/game at home.
Tight H2H history — last 5 meetings averaged just 1.4 goals.