Win Probability (Market) ?
49%
Getafe to Win
Home: 49% Draw: 30% Away: 21%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.81 goals
Away advantage
Getafe scores 0.88 goals/game at home
Vallecano concedes 1.69 goals/game away
Vallecano concedes 1.69 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.1 goals
Tight / Low Scoring
Getafe: 0.8 scored / 1.0 conceded
Vallecano: 1.0 scored / 1.2 conceded
Vallecano: 1.0 scored / 1.2 conceded
Getafe
Vallecano
7
League Pos
11
44
Points
39
1.33
PPG
1.18
0.85
Goals For
1.00
1.03
Goals Against
1.24
30.3%
BTTS %
42.4%
20 stronger by 2
DB Pwr ?
18
38%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
19%
L W L W W
Form
D W L W L
Injury & Availability
Getafe ?JuanmiInjuryOut
Vallecano ?A. GarciaMuscle InjuryOut
Luiz FelipeInjuryOut
D. MendezKnee InjuryOut
R. NtekaInjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2026-01-022025-2026Vallecano1-1Getafe
2025-05-022024-2025Vallecano1-0Getafe
2024-08-242024-2025Getafe0-0Vallecano
2024-04-132023-2024Vallecano0-0Getafe
2024-01-022023-2024Getafe0-2Vallecano
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams trend low-scoring (Getafe 27.3% / Vallecano 39.4%) — combined 33%. Under 2.5 has value.
Away defensive advantage: Vallecano concedes only 1.69 goals/game away while Getafe scores 0.88 goals/game at home.
Tight H2H history — last 5 meetings averaged just 1.0 goals.
Elevated draw probability at 30% market-implied.