Win Probability (Market) ?
40%
Twente to Win
Home: 35% Draw: 25% Away: 40%
Attack vs Defence ?
+1.13 goals
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar scores 2.27 goals/game at home
Twente concedes 1.13 goals/game away
Twente concedes 1.13 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.9 goals
Moderate Scoring
AZ Alkmaar: 1.7 scored / 1.5 conceded
Twente: 1.7 scored / 1.1 conceded
Twente: 1.7 scored / 1.1 conceded
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
6
League Pos
5
49
Points
54
1.58
PPG
1.74
1.68
Goals For
1.68
1.45
Goals Against
1.06
61.3%
BTTS %
64.5%
51
DB Pwr ?
73 stronger by 22
53%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
40%
D W W L W
Form
D W W W L
Injury & Availability
AZ Alkmaar ?J. HornkampInjuryOut
Twente ?M. HilgersKnee InjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-11-302025-2026Twente1-0AZ Alkmaar
2025-05-142024-2025Twente2-3AZ Alkmaar
2024-12-212024-2025AZ Alkmaar1-0Twente
2024-05-052023-2024AZ Alkmaar2-1Twente
2024-01-132023-2024Twente2-1AZ Alkmaar
⚡ Betting Angles
BTTS likely — AZ Alkmaar 61.3% / Twente 64.5% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 63%.
Home attack advantage: AZ Alkmaar scores 2.27 goals/game at home, Twente concedes 1.13 goals/game away — +1.13-goal advantage.