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Middlesbrough vs Southampton Head to Head | Championship

Championship
2026-05-09 · 11:30 (UK)
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
2.26
DRAW
3.32
AWAY WIN
3.28
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Middlesbrough
Southampton
42%
Form
58%
45%
Attack Strength
55%
50%
Defensive Strength
50%
62%
Head-to-Head
38%
64%
Goal Trend
36%
53.5%
Overall Edge
46.5%

Middlesbrough vs Southampton looks like a balanced matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. There is no clear favourite from the baseline numbers, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game rather than a strong prediction. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
42%
Middlesbrough to Win
Home: 42%  Draw: 29%  Away: 29%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.13 goals
Evenly matched
Middlesbrough scores 1.48 goals/game at home
Southampton concedes 1.61 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.8 goals
Moderate Scoring
Middlesbrough: 1.6 scored / 1.0 conceded
Southampton: 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded
Middlesbrough
Southampton
5
League Pos
4
80
Points
80
1.74
PPG
1.74
1.57
Goals For
1.78
1.02
Goals Against
1.22
56.5%
BTTS %
71.7%
74 stronger by 3
DB Pwr ?
71
52%
Home Win%
Away Win%
43%
D W W D L
Form
W D D W W
Injury & Availability
Middlesbrough
No injury concerns reported
Southampton
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2Middlesbrough
2Draws
1Southampton
2.8Avg Goals
2026-01-042025-2026Middlesbrough4-0Southampton
2025-09-272025-2026Southampton1-1Middlesbrough
2024-03-292023-2024Southampton1-1Middlesbrough
2023-09-232023-2024Middlesbrough2-1Southampton
2017-05-132016-2017Middlesbrough1-2Southampton
⚡ Betting Angles
BTTS likely — Middlesbrough 56.5% / Southampton 71.7% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 64%.
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