Mainz vs Union Berlin Head to Head | Bundesliga
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Mainz
Union Berlin
78%
Form
22%
57%
Attack Strength
43%
58%
Defensive Strength
42%
25%
Head-to-Head
75%
38%
Goal Trend
63%
52.8%
Overall Edge
47.3%
Mainz vs Union Berlin looks like a balanced matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. There is no clear favourite from the baseline numbers, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game rather than a strong prediction. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
54%
Mainz to Win
Home: 54% Draw: 24% Away: 22%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.69 goals
Away advantage
Mainz scores 1.25 goals/game at home
Union Berlin concedes 1.94 goals/game away
Union Berlin concedes 1.94 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.9 goals
Moderate Scoring
Mainz: 1.3 scored / 1.6 conceded
Union Berlin: 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded
Union Berlin: 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded
Mainz
Union Berlin
10
League Pos
13
37
Points
33
1.16
PPG
1.03
1.28
Goals For
1.16
1.56
Goals Against
1.78
62.5%
BTTS %
62.5%
18 stronger by 9
DB Pwr ?
9
25%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
25%
W L D L W
Form
D L L L D
Injury & Availability
No injury concerns reported
No injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2026-01-102025-2026Union Berlin2-2Mainz
2025-01-192024-2025Union Berlin2-1Mainz
2024-08-242024-2025Mainz1-1Union Berlin
2024-02-072023-2024Mainz1-1Union Berlin
2023-08-202023-2024Union Berlin4-1Mainz
⚡ Betting Angles
BTTS likely — Mainz 62.5% / Union Berlin 62.5% BTTS rate this season. Combined average 62%.
Away defensive advantage: Union Berlin concedes only 1.94 goals/game away while Mainz scores 1.25 goals/game at home.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.2 goals across last 5 meetings.